Autonoma fartyg – En studie med fokus på ekonomiska konsekvenser

Typ
Examensarbete för kandidatexamen
Bachelor Thesis
Program
Sjöfart och logistik (180 hp)
Publicerad
2016
Författare
Brattén Fransson, Marcus
Thuresson, Tim
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Sammanfattning
The study is performed with the purpose to connect the economic consequences from the MUNIN project and DNV GL’s financial analyzes with the present costs for a conventional vessel. The idea is to observe if unmanned autonomous vessels has the possibility to reduce costs for a shipping company or if it contributes with additional costs. This due to the reason that shipping companies within the container- and bulk segment have difficulties to present profit. The two separate research projects are compared to gain a perception of their amplitude. The progress with autonomy and its technical systems within the shipping industry is compared with competitive industries where several projects within the subject are in progress. According to financial analyzes for ReVolt and the MUNIN project the implementation of autonomous systems is a profitable business. Calculations from the MUNIN-project shows that they will save 7 million USD during a period of 25 years when the vessel is operated with heavy fuel oil and ReVolt achieves a saving of 48 million USD under a period of 30 years. In the scenario when the MUNIN vessel is operated with marine diesel oil, the result will exceed the cost for a conventional vessel with 29.7 million USD. Communication costs, for sending data between the vessel and a shore control centre, has been produced and applied to the financial assays and it has changed the outcome significantly. The 48 million USD cost savings for ReVolt is reduced to 32 million USD due to current fuel prices and with communication- and personnel costs for the SCC the total costs for ReVolt will exceed the conventional vessel with 3.95 million USD. The communication costs for the MUNIN vessel is not allowed to exceed 280.000 USD per year if the implementation of autonomous systems shall be profitable. The scenario of communication costs for the MUNIN vessel is a great assumption but compared to their own calculation, which is not included in their financial analysis, the outcome is positive. Despite this, the communication costs per year exceed 280.000 USD per year and can thereby be found that the economic outcome for the MUNIN projects autonomous vessel will be less profitable than the conventional vessel. A positive fact that speaks for these two concepts is that it is the communication costs that has a negative effect on the result. Communication costs will decrease with time due to the fact of the technical development and therefore a potential within this segment exists.
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Ämne/nyckelord
Transport , Transportteknik och logistik , Transport , Transport Systems and Logistics
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