1 The role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations within a regional context: An investigation of SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County A Master’s thesis at the Challenge Lab, Chalmers University of Technology HANI ELZOUMOR – Knowledge-Based Entrepreneurship SPIROS STRACHINIS – Quality and Operations Management Supervisors: Ethan Gifford, University of Gothenburg Hans Hellsmark, Chalmers University of Technology Department of Space, Earth & the Environment CHALMERS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY Graduate School – School of Business, Economics and Law UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG Gothenburg, Sweden 2019 2 The role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations within a regional context An investigation of SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County HANI ELZOUMOR & SPIROS STRACHINIS Department of Space, Earth & the Environment CHALMERS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY Graduate School – School of Business, Economics and Law Institute of Innovation and Entrepreneurship UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG Gothenburg, Sweden 2019 3 The role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations within a regional context An investigation of SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County HANI ELZOUMOR SPIROS STRACHINIS © HANI ELZOUMOR, SPIROS STRACHINIS, 2019 Supervisors: Ethan Gifford, University of Gothenburg Hans Hellsmark, Chalmers University of Technology Examiner: John Holmberg, Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology Master’s Thesis 2019 Department of Space, Earth and Environment Chalmers University of Technology SE-412 96 Göteborg Sweden Telephone + 46 (0)31-772 1000 Graduate School, School of Business, Economics and Law University of Gothenburg, SE-405 30 Göteborg Sweden Telephone: +46 (0)31-786 4956 © All rights reserved No part of this thesis may be reproduced without a written permission by the authors. Cover: [A dynamic illustration of “reconfiguration pathway” that represents transition for the current mobility system of Västra Götaland County; a detailed explanation of photo can be found in section 5.1.2. Photographer: Spiros Strachinis] Göteborg, Sweden 2019 4 Preface This master thesis is conducted in a sustainability-related theme at the Challenge Lab (C- Lab), Chalmers University of Technology. The master thesis process in Challenge lab is divided in two phases, I and II. For phase I, the framework of back-casting methodology was followed; which includes four steps based on the back-casting theoretical framework (Holmberg 1998, Holmberg and Larsson 2018). This framework works as a foundation for a better match between a proposed research problem and question from an academic perspective and sustainability problems that need to be addressed from a practical perspective, in order to move towards the envisioned future. More information about phase I is available in appendix A. In phase II, this study authors departed from the research question, reached at the end of phase I, by identifying the appropriate foundation of theoretical and empirical literature, research methodology approach, data collection procedures, analysis and discussion of the study’s main findings. The following thesis structure is predominantly what have been implemented during phase II of the C-Lab. 5 The role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations within a regional context An investigation of SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County HANI ELZOUMOR and SPIROS STRACHINIS Department of Space, Earth & the Environment CHALMERS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY Institute of Innovation and Entrepreneurship UNIVERSITY OF GOTHENBURG ABSTRACT The issue of sustainability transitions of socio-technical systems (STS), despite being thoroughly discussed in literature, still has a lot of work to be further investigated, specifically from multi-level actor-based perspective. This study has a general aim to empirically investigate sustainability transition of mobility system of Västra Götaland County, by adopting theory of system innovations, put by Frank W. Geels, and a co- evolutionary approach of transition. As a system niche actor, Small and Medium Sized Enterprises (SMEs), that are innovation driven and developing new technological solutions, can be a source of disruptive and radical innovations, and hence a significant player in the process of sustainability transition in this regional context. In that regard, this thesis has the following overarching research question: what is the role of innovation- driven SMEs developing new mobility solutions in upscaling niche innovations within a regional context? To answer this question, the role of innovation-driven SMEs, located in Västra Götaland County, is explored by identifying their “current” and “perceived” roles, respectively. This study follows a qualitative strategy in which a comparative design is adopted. In addition, primary and secondary sources have been accessed to collect relevant data. In order to collect primary data, we identified population of innovation-driven SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County, and then selected a sample of 9 SMEs to conduct semi-structured interviews. Primary data from 6 industry experts and researchers in the region were collected as well through unstructured interviews. SMEs were classified, under the comparative design, on four technological trends that have the potential to disrupt mobility systems and they are (a) autonomous vehicles, (b) connectivity, (c) electrification and (d) shared mobility. Results of SMEs population showed the existence of other technological trends that are not high-tech but service-based and sustainability-oriented, and they were included in the analysis. A qualitative thematic analysis has been conducted to decide on major themes of SMEs current and perceived roles based on findings of selected sample and industry experts. Accordingly, this study has found that SMEs current role is significantly and positively contributing to the system’s transition towards sustainability. The latter role can be classified under three pillars; the creation and maintenance of specialized niches, forming symbiotic relationships with regime incumbents and undertaking active collaboration with various stakeholders on both regime and niche levels. However, current system bottlenecks represented into incumbents’ inertia, as well as SMEs shortcoming regarding absence of sustainability- rooted strategies for scaling up their niche technologies, can put the whole transition process under risk of failure. That motivated SMEs perceived role based on their potential 6 of realizing disruptive effect of niche technologies. Again, by dividing such role into three interconnected sub-roles, SMEs have to adopt more co-innovation of their business models with relevant regime stakeholders, follow new forms of technology diffusion/scale-up rather than traditional business growth, and engage into more articulation of regime challenges and more direction of collaboration activities’ goals. Lastly, VGR has a decisive role to assist SMEs scaling up their innovations, besides its traditional function to provide financial and mentoring support, by exerting more pressuring on regime influential stakeholders to open-up for real collaboration, and by the implementation of bridging policies that aim for more integrative innovation strategies between SMEs and regime incumbents. Keywords: SMEs, Niche Innovations, Multiple-Level Perspective, Transition Pathway, Strategic Niche Management, Electrification, Autonomous Vehicles, Connectivity, Shared Mobility, Västra Götalandsregionen, Västra Götaland County, Sustainability. 7 Acknowledgment This thesis is an outcome of a long journey of ups and downs, ambitions and disappointments but with many inspiring “aha” moments! We would like to send a BIG “thank you” to; The C-Lab team: Linnea, Johan, John, Gavin and Andreas, for your continuous support and for the amazing environment you provided us over this long but rewarding journey. Finally, we are done! Our 2019 Batch: Annica, Viktor, Hanna, Ashwin, Abdul, Sourabha, Per, Nora, Usisipho and Vasilis, for your amazing company. We would always remember check-ins and outs funny moments and our nice chat during lunch and coffee breaks. All knowledgeable experts and ambitious entrepreneurs: for your active and helpful engagement in this project. Your thoughtful insights were the cornerstone for this thesis to have such real contribution. Our academic supervisors: Ethan and Hans, for your constructive feedback, suggestions and continuous encouragement. Our families and friends: you were the unknown soldier that backed us in our hard times. And finally, Johanneberg Science Park restaurant: for the delicious coffee and fruits. You cannot imagine how much that helped …a lot! Hani Elzoumor & Spiros Strachinis Gothenburg, December 2019 8 List of abbreviations Abbreviation Meaning AI Artificial Intelligence AV Autonomous Vehicles B2B Business-to-Business B2C Business-to-Consumer BMfS Business Models for Sustainability BRG Business Region Gothenburg C-Lab The Challenge Lab CEO Chief Executive Officer CFO Chief Financial Officer CO2 Carbon dioxide EU The European Union EURO The European currency EV Electric Vehicle(s) FCV Fuel-Cell Vehicle(s) FEV Full-Electric Vehicle(s) HEV Hybrid Electric Vehicle(s) ICE Internal Combustion Engine IoT Internet of Things IT Information Technologies LSP Lindholmen Science Park M&A Merger & Acquisition(s) MLP Multiple-Level Perspective MVP Minimum Viable Product N/A Not available PHEV Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle R&D Research and Development RIS Regional Innovation Scoreboard RISE Research Institute of Sweden SEK The Swedish Kronor SME(s) Small and Medium-sized Enterprise(s) SNI-code Svensk näringsgrensindelning SNM Strategic Niche Management SOI(s) Sustainability Oriented Innovation(s) STS Socio-technical System(s) TaaS Transportation-as-a-Service TMS Transport Management System VGR Västra Götalandsregionen / Västra Götaland Regional Council VTI Vägtransportinsititutet WCED World Commission on Environmental Development 9 List of figures Figure 1: A dynamic illustration of multi-level perspective of system innovation by Geels (2005) ................................................................................................................................ 26 Figure 2: A graphical illustration of the MLP four transition pathways as developed by Geels and Schot (2007) ..................................................................................................... 32 Figure 3: Transition contexts based on level of coordination among, and availability of resources to, regime actors, as developed by Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) .................... 35 Figure 4: Co-evolution of sustainable new small firms and old incumbents towards sustainable transformation of industries as suggested by Hockerts and Wüstenhagen (2010) ........................................................................................................................................... 40 Figure 5: List of connectivity enabled features/applications as developed by Kavanaugh (2018) ................................................................................................................................ 50 Figure 6: Locational distribution of SMEs population within Västra Götaland County with respect to technological trends .......................................................................................... 57 Figure 7: Distribution of SMEs in identified population according to technological trends ........................................................................................................................................... 67 Figure 8: Distribution of SMEs in identified population according to number of employees ........................................................................................................................................... 68 Figure 9: Distribution of SMEs in identified population according to year of establishment and technological trends ................................................................................................... 69 Figure 10: Magnitude of SMEs accumulated turnover in identified population according to an enterprise’s year of establishment ................................................................................ 70 Figure 11: Structure of presentated results for primary data collection from SMEs and expert interviews ............................................................................................................... 73 Figure 12: Schematic illustration of the increasing gap between the verticals and component suppliers, as explained by A2 founder ........................................................... 75 Figure 13: An illustrative figure of the three main strategy options for interviewed SMEs by their technological classifications ................................................................................ 88 Figure 14: Depiction of an enterprise R&D spending as a share of its total spending in relation to its respective age ............................................................................................. 96 Figure 15: Relationship between level of technological complexity and market focus for SMEs niche solutions within the four technological trends.............................................. 97 Figure 16: Mobility system of Västra Götaland County using system levels of Geels and Schot (2007) ...................................................................................................................... 99 Figure 17: A dynamic illustration of “reconfiguration pathway” that represents transition for the current mobility system of Västra Götaland County ........................................... 103 Figure 18: Ecosystem structure for SMEs operating within shared mobility technological niche ................................................................................................................................ 107 10 Figure A. 1: Manifestation of the challenge lab in the context of triple helix innovation system by Holmberg (2015)............................................................................................ 116 Figure A. 2: Steps of back-casting methodology for sustainability transitions by Larsson and Holmberg (2018) ...................................................................................................... 116 Figure A. 3: Sustainability lighthouse illustrating the four dimensions of sustainability as presented in Holmberg and Larsson (2018) .................................................................... 118 Figure A. 4: How sustainability lighthouse can guide transitions in socio-technical systems as presented in Holmberg and Larsson (2018) ............................................................... 118 Figure A. 5: Extrinsic motivation as a major source of human motivation and its four different forms/types as developed by Ryan and Deci (2000) ........................................ 120 Figure A. 6: Structure and rotation mechanism for world cafes to form sustainability principles as developed by the C-Lab 2019, presentation on step 1 of back-casting methodology: formulate principles for sustainability ..................................................... 122 Figure A. 7: Sustainability lighthouse created by the C-Lab student patch in 2019, with the suggested principles in each respective dimension ......................................................... 123 Figure A. 8: A preliminary system map of mobility thematic area, as prepared by students of the Challenge Lab patch 2019 .................................................................................... 124 11 List of tables Table 1: A detailed explanation for each level within the MLP of system innovation .... 25 Table 2: List of meeting with industry experts in Västra Götaland County ..................... 52 Table 3: Final population of innovation-driven SMEs within mobility system of Västra Götaland County ............................................................................................................... 56 Table 4: List of selected SMEs sample for semi-structured interviews ............................ 60 Table 5: Title of interviewee, interview type, date and length for each respective SME . 61 Table 6: Distribution of SMEs identified population according to last available figure of turnover ............................................................................................................................. 69 Table 7: Summery of main collaboration partners with interviewed SMEs ..................... 84 Table 8: Challenging aspects of business model innovation for interviewed SMEs ........ 93 Table B. 1: Main outcomes of experts’ unstructured interviews .................................... 128 12 Table of Contents 1.Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 16 1.1 Background ........................................................................................................................ 16 1.1.1 Theoretical point of departure .................................................................................. 16 1.1.2 Empirical point of departure ..................................................................................... 17 1.2 Scope/Aim of the study and research question ............................................................... 20 2. Literature ................................................................................................................................. 23 2.1 System innovation in the context of sustainability transitions ...................................... 23 2.1.1 What is system innovation? ....................................................................................... 23 2.1.2 Theories of system innovation and transitions of socio-technical systems (STS) . 25 2.1.2.1 Multi-Level Perspective (MLP): regimes, landscape, and niches ................... 25 2.1.2.2 The process of nice formation: Strategic Niche Management (SNM) ............ 28 2.1.2.3. Criticism to MLP and niche-based theories of regime transitions and the development of transition pathways .............................................................................. 31 2.2 Role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations .................................. 36 2.2.1 Rise of SMEs as a main actor in regional innovation systems ................................ 36 2.2.2 Role of SMEs in regional innovation systems .......................................................... 37 2.2.3 Sustainability aspects of SMEs innovations ............................................................. 39 2.2.3.1 Interplay between SMEs and incumbent firms in creating and scaling up niche innovations towards sustainability transformation ............................................ 40 2.2.3.2 Business model innovation at the core of scaling up niche innovation towards sustainability transformation ......................................................................................... 42 2.3 Policy implications for regional public authorities in supporting sustainable transformation of STS and role of SMEs in upscaling niche innovations .......................... 43 2.3.1 For supporting sustainable transformation of STS ................................................. 43 2.3.2 For supporting SMEs in upscaling niche innovations ............................................. 44 3. Methodology ............................................................................................................................. 46 3.1 Research strategy .............................................................................................................. 46 3.2 Research design ................................................................................................................. 47 3.3 Data collection and analysis method ................................................................................ 49 3.3.1 Framework for population identification ................................................................. 49 3.3.1.1 Setting definitions for the study main concepts. ............................................... 49 3.3.1.2 Meeting with industry experts in Västra Götaland County ............................ 52 3.3.2 Population identification ............................................................................................ 54 3.3.2.1 Data collection, filtering and population classifications ................................... 54 13 3.3.2.2 The final population ............................................................................................ 55 3.3.3 Selection of SMEs sample .......................................................................................... 58 3.3.3.1 Type of sampling.................................................................................................. 58 3.3.3.2 Data collection method for the sample .............................................................. 59 3.3.3.3 The final sample and interview settings ............................................................ 59 3.3.4 Data transcription and approach for analysis ......................................................... 62 3.4 Sources of misinformation and study limitation ............................................................. 64 3.4.1 Physical, time and data limitation ............................................................................. 64 3.4.2 Validity and reliability of the study main findings .................................................. 65 4. Results....................................................................................................................................... 67 4.1 Results of the final SMEs population ............................................................................... 67 4.1.1 Characteristics of the entire population ................................................................... 67 4.1.2 Findings for each technological trend ....................................................................... 71 4.2 Results of the semi-structured interviews with selected SMEs sample ........................ 73 4.2.1.1 Autonomous Vehicles .......................................................................................... 74 4.2.1.2 Connectivity ......................................................................................................... 76 4.2.1.3 Electrification ....................................................................................................... 76 4.2.1.4 Shared Mobility ................................................................................................... 77 4.2.1.5 Other ..................................................................................................................... 79 4.2.2 Collaboration with the company’s main stakeholders ............................................ 79 4.2.2.1 Autonomous Vehicles .......................................................................................... 80 4.2.2.2 Connectivity ......................................................................................................... 81 4.2.2.3 Electrification ....................................................................................................... 81 4.2.2.4 Shared Mobility ................................................................................................... 82 4.2.2.5 Other ..................................................................................................................... 83 4.2.3 Company´s strategy .................................................................................................... 84 4.2.3.1 Autonomous Vehicles .......................................................................................... 84 4.2.3.2 Connectivity ......................................................................................................... 85 4.2.3.3 Electrification ....................................................................................................... 86 4.2.3.4 Shared Mobility ................................................................................................... 87 4.2.3.5 Other ..................................................................................................................... 87 4.2.4 Main challenges facing the company ........................................................................ 88 4.2.4.1 Autonomous Vehicles .......................................................................................... 89 14 4.2.4.2 Connectivity ......................................................................................................... 90 4.2.4.3 Electrification ....................................................................................................... 90 4.2.4.4 Shared Mobility ................................................................................................... 91 4.2.4.5 Other ..................................................................................................................... 92 5. Discussion ................................................................................................................................. 94 5.1 Current role of innovation-driven SMEs ........................................................................ 94 5.1.1 The creation and maintenance of specialized niches ............................................... 94 5.1.2 Forming symbiotic relationship with current regime actors/stakeholders ........... 99 5.1.3 Undertaking active collaboration with other regime and niche players.............. 104 5.2 Perceived role of innovation-driven SMEs .................................................................... 108 5.2.1 A system transition (i.e. regime/niche interactions) perspective .......................... 108 5.2.2 A niche actor-based perspective .............................................................................. 111 5.2.2.1 “A business model co-innovation” role ............................................................ 112 5.2.2.2 “A new scaling-up” role .................................................................................... 112 5.2.2.3 “An initiator of collaboration activities” role ................................................. 112 6. Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 113 • Policy recommendation and suggestions for further research .................................. 114 Appendix A: Phase I in the C-Lab ........................................................................................... 115 A.1 Background ..................................................................................................................... 115 • The Challenge Lab .................................................................................................... 115 • Theory: Back-casting ................................................................................................ 116 A.2 Methodology .................................................................................................................... 120 • Values clarification ...................................................................................................... 120 • Mission Statement ....................................................................................................... 121 • Sustainable principles .................................................................................................. 121 • Systems mapping and information gathering .............................................................. 123 • Stakeholder dialogues .................................................................................................. 124 • Leverage point identification ....................................................................................... 125 A.3 Results and Research Question ..................................................................................... 127 • Process of arriving at a research question: how did it go? .......................................... 127 • Research Question ....................................................................................................... 127 Appendix B: Unstructured interviews with industry experts in western Sweden ............... 128 Appendix C: Semi-structured interview guide for participant SMEs .................................. 131 15 C.1 Development steps for SMEs semi-structured interview guide .................................. 131 C.2 The final SMEs interview guide .................................................................................... 134 Appendix D: List of terminologies ........................................................................................... 136 List of References ...................................................................................................................... 138 16 1.Introduction 1.1 Background 1.1.1 Theoretical point of departure The concept of sustainability transition/transformation has been heavily discussed under the realm of sustainability and sustainable development literature. In order to address what is meant by sustainability transition, it is of significant importance to start with the definition of “sustainability”. Despite the various approaches and definitions put for the former concept, this thesis has adopted abroad definition formulated by the World Commission on Environmental Development (WCED) as; “development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs” (WCED 1987). Later on, sustainability research has approached the concept from different perspectives; however, most cited definitions of sustainability are fundamentally based on three intersecting pillars or aspects (environmental, economic and social) that are fulfilling human needs and wellbeing. It is worth-mentioning that “sustainable development” as a process and “sustainability” as an outcome have been interchangeably used to reflect the same meaning (Schaltegger, Hansen et al. 2016). Sustainability transitions are defined as “transformative changes” in which fundamental and transformative actions have to be undertaken to realize changes on a wide scale such as systems or sectors that serve specific societal functions or on the whole societal level. These kinds of transitions are not aiming to create incremental or marginal changes, but they are targeting to support radical, disruptive or substantial change in societies. Therefore, sustainability transitions are complex processes in which configurations of unsustainable systems are dismissed and replaced by more sustainable ones. In fact, sustainability transition scholars such as Frank W. Geels have developed many conceptual and theoretical frameworks that investigate and explain such complex transformative processes. For instance, in order to conceptually investigate and understand sustainability transitions on systems level, the concept of “system innovation” has been developed in literature, and it is usually defined as sustainable transformation of one of societal functions that takes place on a wide scale such as mobility, communication, housing …etc. (Geels 2005). A prominent theory of Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) of system innovation analyses how the structural formation of systems into three interlinked levels (landscape, regime, and niches) lead to a sustainability transformation process in which many actions and processes are taking place, co-evolving and reinforcing each other. In that regard, it was argued by Geels (2004), Geels (2005) and Geels and Schot (2007) that system niches are the seeds of change, as they are “the locus of radical innovation”. In fact, system niches are defined as protected spaces that are set up for the experimentation and development of new and radical technologies. It is argued by the last references, and adopted in this study, that such niches would lead to system innovation by utilizing windows of opportunity through scaling up innovations and linking with developments on higher system levels (i.e. regime and landscape). Geels (2004) stressed that involvement of actors is essential to accelerate the diffusion of radical new technologies into system regimes; however, there is still a literature gap regarding actor-related activities on 17 niches of MPLs, and their effect to accelerate technological breakthroughs on higher system levels. Accordingly, more research is needed to reveal how niche actors navigate transitions, and to investigate actors-related patterns, including their modes and strategic interactions, in order to understand speed of diffusion and/or breakthroughs of new technological configurations that lead to system disruption and innovation. On another note, Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) play an essential role in technological niches. Many writings have referred to the pivotal role that SMEs are playing nowadays in innovation systems, especially regional ones, due to many factors; and that have created promising niche opportunities for them to step in (Smallbone, North et al. 2003). In addition, the last reference has classified SMEs according to their technological level and assumed that technology-driven SMEs would “create and maintain specialized niches” while they are developing their novelties and can be strong candidate to drive radical innovations especially in tech sectors and high-technology regions. Klewitz and Hansen (2014), in their systematic review of Sustainability-Oriented Innovation (SOIs) of SMEs, have argued that innovation-based and sustainability rooted strategies for SMEs would result into radical innovation, which have more influence to affect sustainability transformations on higher system levels. However, there is no enough literature that investigates the dynamics of SMEs role as niche-based actors into system innovation and sustainability transformations, specifically for scaling up sustainable radical technologies. Indeed, such dynamic role of SMEs has been reviewed from limited co-evolutionary perspectives such as interplay between SMEs and incumbent firms into creating and scaling up niche innovations, and from business model innovation perspective. However, more explorative research needs to be implemented from other theoretical co-evolutionary perspectives to understand dynamics of such SMEs role in scaling up niche innovations towards sustainability transformation of systems. 1.1.2 Empirical point of departure This study has a general interest of sustainability transition within the regional context of western Sweden, and a specific interest of sustainability transition of “mobility system” inside Västra Götaland County1. On a national level, there is an ongoing comprehensive work for a fossil-free Sweden. The goal is to make Sweden as a fossil-free country before 2045. On a regional level, Västra Götaland County is Sweden’s second largest region in terms of population and is the hub for the automotive industry in Scandinavian countries. Regional authorities, represented into VGR, have taken an active role to reach fossil independency by the year 2030. In “Klimat 2030” report, published by Länsstyrelsen Västra Götalands län, the strategy is presented and described. Out of the four focus themes, one is related to mobility under the name “Sustainable Transports”. The report proposes four different types of investments in this respective theme (VGR 2017); - Sustainable everyday travel, where more people choose biking and collective travels 1 Note that a list of terminologies is provided in appendix D, in which we briefly present/define main public authorities, companies and collaboration arenas that are mentioned in this study. 18 - Accelerate transition for fossil free vehicles - Effective goods transportation - Climate-friendly smart meetings and vacations Västra Götaland Region has good prerequisites for the transformation. There exists dynamic private sector (i.e. innovative enterprises related to the transportation industry), strong knowledge centers, a dedicated public sector, and uprising collaboration platforms, that are committed to meet and solve society problems. The region has an ambition to become a role model for sustainable transformation, and this has been expressed through dialogs, meeting and reports from different actors inside the region. However, different stakeholders have different goals, interests and views towards achieving sustainable transport/mobility systems. For example, during an arranged meeting between this study authors and one of the actors in the public sector, economic sustainability was perceived as being used by incumbents to postpone the transformation for ecological sustainability. That was by arguing disruptiveness could make business models and products of incumbent firms obsolete, hence, many people would be unemployed, thus hurting economic sustainability. Collaboration between actors in academia, government and industry to reach the goals for “Klimat 2030” is in the core of sustainable mobility transformation processes taking place inside Västra Götaland County. One example of an entity that support collaboration in Västra Götaland County is Lindholmen Science Park (LSP). LPS is located in a favorable position in one of Gothenburg’s major business and academic areas, and it has worked, during the last 19 years, as a collaboration and network platform. At LSP, there exist several relevant initiatives and organizations for mobility transformation. The first one to mention is an incubator for startups that develop new mobility solutions; “MobilityXLab”. MobilityXLab collaborates with six corporations, Ericsson, CEVT, Volvo Cars, Veoneer, Volvo group and Zenuity. Currently, it has a portfolio with 17 startups; the majority use some of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies. Furthermore, the office for the testing arena of autonomous vehicles “AstaZero” is located in LSP. AstaZero is a perfect example where all three societal dimensions collaborate (i.e. industry, academia and government). It is owned by Chalmers University of Technology and Research Institute of Sweden (RISE) and gets financing from the public sector (i.e. VGR, Borås stad and European Union). Moreover, it collaborates with several industrial partners such as AB Volvo, Volvo Car Corporation, Scania. Outside Gothenburg city, Innovatum Science Park is one of the most active science parks located in Västra Götaland County in Trollhättan, where more than 140 companies are located and working. The park aims to strengthen business community in western Sweden through providing a constellation of services, most importantly, being a science center, driving development projects and incubating startups. Indeed, the park’s incubator hosts startups developing innovative solutions related to food, mobility and energy. On another note, several mapping reports have been produced by Business Region Gothenburg (BRG) analyzing landscape in western Sweden regarding developments of 19 new technologies covering companies working in mobility sector. Specifically, BRG has conducted cluster analysis and mapping reports about vehicles, electrification, AI, Internet of Things, Augmented Reality & Virtual Reality etc., partly or completely related to transportation and mobility. In addition, several business/professional international reports around transformation of mobility systems are available. Four disruptive technologies have been introduced mainly by industry experts, consultancy firms and interest groups and they are; autonomous vehicles (AV), connectivity, electrification and shared mobility (Arbib and Seba 2017, MCFM 2019). It is predicted that those technologies will completely re-shape and disrupt the future of mobility. Some reports have argued for the need to new institutional settings in order to realize the potential, and accelerate the disruptive effect, of such technologies. Moreover, this thesis has a specific interest into the role played by SMEs located into Västra Götaland County towards its sustainability transition. In that regard, it is interesting to observe that VGR has taken an active role in supporting SMEs in several dimensions, with the purpose of creating a favorable SMEs environment towards the region’s sustainable development, as expressed in its action plan for SMEs over the period 2016- 2018 (VGR 2016). These dimensions are divided into two main aspects that include sub- areas of focus. The two main aspects are “business climate” and “innovation and market development”, and in which sub areas include aspects such as funding, skills supply, procurement, knowledge transfer, and making new markets more available for SMEs. The second area for “innovation and market development” comprises knowledge transfer as a main sub-component. That is mainly to fill in the knowledge gap through networking platforms and closer collaborations between SMEs and knowledge centers such as academia, science parks, research institutes and industrial development centers. Knowledge transfer can be between SMEs and other companies in the same industry or other companies from the outside industry. In that regard, the region has a major role to facilitate knowledge transfer between both parties (i.e. SMEs and their knowledge providers). Moreover, Västra Götaland County has one of the highest R&D expenditures as a share of national GDP, which makes it an innovation leader and placed among the top EU innovative regions, as suggested by the Regional Innovation Scoreboard (RIS) developed by the European Commission (EU 2019). However, such R&D is dominated by a few global companies that represent the majority part of the region’s total R&D investments (VGR 2016). The latter reference assumes that such an unequal distribution of R&D business expenditures would make the region vulnerable when structural changes take place. Therefore, the region has identified a main goal to increase R&D investments in SMEs as well as to increase their ability to commercialize research and created knowledge. This is implemented, according to VGR, through providing innovative environments and meeting places for collaboration activities, such as science parks and testing arenas discussed above, which would enhance SMEs innovative capacity. 20 VGR also identified four major landscape/global trends that will continue to have a major impact on the entrepreneurship ecosystem in western Sweden. Two of them are digitalization and technical improvements which have increased the productivity in the manufacturing sector through automatization. This has fed into a major structural transformation; less labor is needed to conduct operations. Indeed, workers have gradually moved from the manufacturing industries to the service sector. According to VGR (2016), employment in the region’s manufacturing sector (with high productivity) has declined by 7% over the period (1993 – 2011), while the variable has increased 70% during the same period in the private sector, albeit in service companies. Today, SMEs create 4 out of 5 jobs in the region, making it the main source of equalizer during this transformation of occupation between sectors. To reduce economic and social unrest, policies aligned with the creation of new jobs are of importance for the region, thus giving their attention to SMEs. The two other landscape trends that disrupt the current system are globalization and climate transition. Again, the report assumes these two trends could make the established enterprises in the region vulnerable, however; the region also views this as an opportunity for innovation. Lastly, the report assumes that region’s strategy “Klimat 2030” can open the door for SMEs to capture new business opportunities for sustainability-oriented innovations, which would enhance their competitive advantage in the domestic and international markets. In fact, there are advantages of SMEs to be leaders for this change, mainly by introducing sustainable new innovations that will solve future challenges and satisfy demands, hence securing precious jobs. In other words, VGR aims for SMEs to take a significant role with the process of creating and managing upcoming sustainable innovations and help them grow within such process. In summary, Västra Götaland County is witnessing major transformative processes toward sustainability, with mobility in its core. However, such dynamic transformative processes include a lot of elements such as debates among stakeholders about regional sustainability strategies and optimal path of such sustainability transition, nature of interaction and collaboration among different types of stakeholders, the rise of collaboration arenas/platforms that aim to support new and radical innovations, in line with the suggested role that VGR has expected SMEs to play as a leader for introducing and managing sustainable innovations. All these elements provide an attractive leverage point for this study to do an in-depth investigation for the role of SMEs that are developing radical and sustainable new innovations aiming to transform mobility sector inside Västra Götaland County. 1.2 Scope/Aim of the study and research question This study aims to shed light on one of the main actors for leading sustainability transitions in a regional context; Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs). Based on theoretical point of departure, specifically from system innovation within the context of sustainability transitions, niche innovations brought up by niche level actors, including SMEs as a main stakeholder, have the potential to disrupt and transform unsustainable systems towards a more sustainable path. However, there is still a theoretical gap regarding the role of SMEs, as a main actor/stakeholder, on the niche level, in the process of upscaling niche 21 innovations towards sustainable transformation of systems. Based on empirical point of departure, within the regional context of western Sweden, a pivotal role is expected by SMEs residing in this region to significantly contribute in its sustainable transition, specifically in the light of VGR strategy of sustainable transport system. Therefore, this study is interested into investigating the case of SMEs located in western Sweden that are innovation driven. Such investigation is specifically regarding what role such entities play in accelerating and scaling up innovations in the context of regional transition towards sustainable mobility system. It is worth mentioning that in order to identify what is meant by “scaling up niche innovations”, this study adopts Schaltegger, Hansen et al. (2016) co-evolutionary approach for scaling up niche business models towards sustainable transformations of markets. Accordingly, the concept “scaling up niche innovations” is defined by this study as the diffusion of sustainable innovative technologies by niche players (i.e. SMEs or other niche players) either through growth or other mechanisms such as replication or mimicry, in a co-evolutionary process that is characterized by high collaboration activities among niche actors as well as other stakeholders. Accordingly, this thesis has the following overarching research question: “What is the role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling/accelerating niche innovation within a regional context?” Under this question, two more-specific research questions can be introduced: • What is the current role played by innovation-driven SMEs in the mobility system within Västra Götaland County? • What is the perceived role to be played by innovation-driven SMEs in the mobility system within Västra Götaland County? Before proceeding, it is important to clarify why SMEs role is divided between “current” and “perceived” roles. As observed from theoretical and empirical points of departure, SMEs role is predominantly crucial to scale up niche innovations towards sustainable transformation of the region’s mobility system, as an ultimate goal. To achieve such goal, this study assumes a perceived (i.e. a distinguished) role that is expected to be played by such niche players towards an agreed-upon vision of the region’s transformation towards sustainability. Therefore, the latter role has not only to be perceived by SMEs entrepreneurs themselves but also other influential regional stakeholders such as VGR. Nevertheless, in order for this study to propose such role, it is crucial to understand, in the first place, what SMEs are currently doing within the region. That warrants the investigation of their “current role” in the mobility system of Västra Götaland County, as the first sub-question to be answered, under the current system’s preoccupations/arrangements. In line with this, the regional development strategy of VGR is under development right now, therefore; regional authorities would be interested into potential areas of intervention for solving bottlenecks facing SMEs in the region. Indeed, the identification of bottlenecks that face SMEs in accelerating/scaling up their innovations is based on investigating the gap between the current role that such entities are playing and the perceived role that they are expected to play in the upcoming period based on their potential. Hence a more directed 22 approach, while deciding on the research method and designing interview guide for SMEs, can be implemented. In order to answer this research question, the study follows a qualitative approach as its main strategy, in which a comparative design is adopted. In addition, it relies on primary and secondary sources to collect relevant data. The study has identified the population of innovation-driven SMEs developing new mobility solutions in Västra Götaland County. The criteria for identification and inclusion of “innovation-driven SMEs” in the population was theoretically based on the definition of “technology-driven SMEs” that Smallbone, North et al. (2003) has developed. The last reference has defined “technology-driven SMEs” as; the ones that keep updated with the latest technologies which would enable them to “create, maintain specialized niches” while they are developing their novelties; therefore, they can be strong candidates to drive radical technologies in high technology regions. In addition, the criteria for identification and inclusion of “innovation driven SMEs” into this study’s population have been empirically based on the four promising technological trends, introduced by consultancy firms and industry experts, that have the potential to disrupt mobility systems, and they are: a) autonomous vehicles, b) connectivity, c) electrification and d) shared mobility. Primary data from selected industry experts and researchers within western Sweden were collected, in the beginning and during formation of population, through unstructured interviews. Afterwards, a sample of 9 SMEs were selected for the aim of answering the research questions through conducting semi- structured interviews. Therefore, it is crucial to mention that answering the overarching research question/two sub research questions has been implemented mainly from SMEs perspectives that have been involved in this study, in combination with some insights gained from the selected group of industry experts that have been strongly linked to the studied phenomenon. Qualitative analysis was undertaken later to decide on the major themes of the current and perceived role of SMEs. Based on such analysis, the study identifies bottlenecks facing SMEs while creating and accelerating/scaling up niche innovations. Reached conclusions are expected to have a contribution for VGR in terms of insights that regional authorities should consider in order to assist SMEs overcome barriers and scale up their innovations. 23 2. Literature 2.1 System innovation in the context of sustainability transitions 2.1.1 What is system innovation? Over the last few decades, these has been a lot of innovations that led to substantial improvement in environmental efficiency on different, albeit relatively smaller, scales. That has resulted into positive impact on sustainability; however, such innovations did not achieve its desirable impact on a larger scale (Elzen and Wieczorek 2005). Therefore, there has been an increasing interest in creating wide-scale environmental efficiency that would require innovation to take place on higher levels (i.e. system/regime level), which would enable structural transformation of such systems. That kind of innovation is called system innovation, and aims to achieve sustainability transition (Geels, Elzen et al. 2004). That is why scholars of system innovation have given a special focus to the environmental aspect of system/regime transformation. In that regard, Elzen and Wieczorek (2005) argued for the need to build a solid knowledge base for sustainable system transformation as academic research is facing two major challenges. One is to develop a better understanding of transitions dynamics, and the other is feeding insights from such dynamics into formulating and implementing policies that would stimulate desirable transition paths. In fact, the origins of system innovation go back to late 1970s when the definition of “technological regime” was developed by R. Nelson and G. Winter in 1977, as well as the concept of “technological paradigm” developed by G. Dosi in 1982 (Kemp, Schot et al. 1998). However, more tendency was toward using “technological regimes” in transition literature as a better concept than “technological paradigms” because of the former reference to the rules that are socially embedded into systems; such rules are well established and are not easy to dissolve or change. Therefore, discussion in literature of regime transitions and change, at that time was about system optimization rather than system transformation. Such optimization is dependent on two factors; engineers’ beliefs and shared knowledge on one side, and beliefs of market needs/demand on another side. System optimization approach does not take into account the selection environments; or in other words, the institutional factors that rule economic and social environment. Geels (2005) has defined system innovation as “large-scale transformations in the way societal functions such as transportation, communication, housing, feeding, are fulfilled”. This study is concerned with sustainability transition of mobility systems/regimes, which is transition of one of societal functions as mentioned above (i.e. it is on a lower level than a transition for whole society and a higher level than transition on an organizational level such as firms) (Geels, Elzen et al. 2004). In system innovation literature, societal functions (including mobility systems) are also called socio-technical systems/regimes (STS), a concept that is raised by Geels (2004) by adding more actors and sets of rules to the “technological regime” concept developed by R. Nelson and G. Winter. Accordingly, system innovation is interchangeably called transition of STS (i.e. change from one social- technical system to another). Scholars such as (Geels, Elzen et al. 2004), Geels (2005) have identified salient elements of STS that go through transition processes. They are technology, industry structure (i.e. markets, maintenance and supply networks), cultural 24 meanings and values, regulations, infrastructure. In other words, system innovation is not only concerned with introducing new technological innovations, but also it comprises the introduction of new markets, regulations, infrastructure (on the supply side), as well as attitudes, norms, new users and practices (on the demand side). Elements of STS are, albeit heterogenous, connected into dynamic networks that are continuously reformed on multiple dimensions by activities of relevant social groups. It has always been argued in sustainability literature that transitions always drive disruptive innovation (Hockerts and Wüstenhagen 2010). Therefore, system innovation causes disruption of prevailing technologies as well as their links to current markets/users, so it leads to structural/architectural changes of such systems. It is also characterized by multi- actor processes, which means that change includes interaction between actors within specific societal group as well as among different societal groups (i.e. system innovation is not initiated by a mere actor or driver). As this study is not only concerned with sustainable transition in automotive industry (as a single industry or sector), but also transition of mobility system as a societal function2, which warrants the theoretical approach of system innovation. To elaborate, this study does not just investigate a specific industry, sector or technological knowledge, but it tries to understand change from a wider perspective that is characterized by complexity and coevolution. System innovation has been approached from two distinct disciplines that provide a rich and more comprehensive view of such complex phenomenon. They are evolutionary economics and innovation studies in one hand, and cultural studies (i.e. sociology of technology) and history of technology on the other hand. Historical studies of system innovation indicate the gradual and long time span of such transformation, as it can take many decades of unfold desirable wide scale change (Geels, Elzen et al. 2004). That is because innovation systems are usually characterized by “stability”, “path dependency” and “lock-in”, which implies that new innovations are mostly incremental in nature (Geels 2004). These incremental innovations maintain and improve existing technologies and retain existing users. Although one reason for stability of existing system can be high investments undertaken by producers and too large built-in capital to write-off (Elzen and Wieczorek 2005). Another significant reason is that current systems are deeply embedded into society; they are adopted to people’s lifestyles and prevailing institutional arrangements, which explains why new technologies may fail, in many cases, to achieve wide scale system transitions. Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) have identified a number of binding factors that hinder sustainable transformation of socio-technical regimes. These factors can be summarized as technological, government and regulatory policies, cultural and psychological, market demand, production/supply, infrastructure and maintenance, expected undesirable effects of new technologies, which comprises the same elements for STS discussed above. 2 That include mobility of people, goods as well as digital forms of mobility as will be more elaborated in the methodology section. 25 Therefore, Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) have indicated that radical technologies, necessary to create system transformation, take long development time to make significant changes in such factors embedded in the selection environment. However, it should be highlighted that system innovation or sustainability transition of STS, that would allow “competence destroying breakthroughs” to cause wider changes, are not planned and/or designed in advance, but they evolve as different actors interact and certain processes evolve over time. Therefore, there is a lot to learn about it from exploratory research that investigates such phenomenon in order to understand it over certain systems, regions and time spans. 2.1.2 Theories of system innovation and transitions of socio-technical systems (STS) There have been many theoretical approaches that explain system innovation from different perspectives, such as point-source approaches, replacement approaches and transformation approaches (Geels 2004). This section is dedicated to discussing two prominent theories of system transitions that have been widely accepted and thoroughly reviewed in literature; Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) of system innovation and Strategic Niche Management (SNM) as the niche-based models of sustainability transitions. The criticism of MLP and niche-based models of regime transitions is discussed afterwards, with the introduction of transition pathways of STS. 2.1.2.1 Multi-Level Perspective (MLP): regimes, landscape, and niches The Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) of system innovation has been introduced in literature order to better understand the complex phenomenon of system innovation (Geels 2005). Basically, any innovation system is comprised of three interlinked and interdependent levels, in which many processes and actions take place, co-evolve and reinforce each other. They are the micro level or “niches”, the macro level or “socio-technical landscape” and the meso level or “regime” in between. MLP have stressed on the importance of interplay between the three levels to adopt wider institutional changes accompanied by the new technological discontinuities. Moreover, the three levels are positioned in a nested hierarchy (Geels 2004); that means niches are embedded into regimes which are, in turn, positioned inside landscapes. The following table no. 1 provides a detailed explanation for each level as suggested by Geels (2005) and Geels (2012). Table 1: A detailed explanation for each level within the MLP of system innovation The macro or landscape level It includes all mega trends that function as background/external/exogenous variables such as macroeconomy, demographic changes, labor market conditions, natural environment, worldwide views, political culture and norms…etc. It also contains unexpected shocks such as wars, environmental disasters, acute changes in oil prices ..etc. It was argued that these variables could have a significant effect on channeling system transitions on the other two levels (regime and niche). The meso or regime level It includes the set of rules embedded in the current institutional arrangement of socio-technical systems. They can be summarized into seven dimensions: technology, user practices and application domains, 26 symbolic meaning of technology, infrastructure, industry structure, policy and knowledge. The micro or niche level Protected spaces/incubation rooms that are prepared for experimentation and development of new technologies as “the locus of radical innovations”. Niches have two fundamental aims.: (1) learning about desirability of the new technologies. (2) enhancing further development and accelerating the rate of application of such technologies (i.e. building social networks that enhance their development). Figure 1: A dynamic illustration of multi-level perspective of system innovation by Geels (2005) Figure no. 1 illustrates the dynamic process of system innovation from a MLP, as developed by the last two references. Geels (2004) assumes that system innovation is predominantly initiated at the niche level. As shown in figure no. 1 above, new technical configurations that are successfully incubated on a niche level find their trajectory path by linking up to the meso and macro levels. Along the way, linking up new configurations with the different aspects on regime level would result into larger changes on the higher system levels. Although a lot of highly potential configurations are incubated in protected niche spaces, very few ones succeed to achieve regime transformation on a wider scale later. In fact, Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) has mentioned a number of growth determinants for new technical configurations, that include: degree of effectiveness of protection and nurture within niches, scope of application for niche technologies in new setting (i.e. to what extent the new configuration solves a bottleneck in the incumbent regime), and 27 compatibility of new configurations with current technological regimes. The last determinant has raised many questions regarding the relative degree of change that can be considered as transformational when the degree of compatibility is very high. Geels (2005) and Geels (2004) have discussed patterns of new configurations breakthroughs from niches to regime level in an MLP. The former reference assumes that success of wider diffusion depends on linking developments in niche level with ongoing processes on regime and landscape level (i.e. external circumstances that provide windows of opportunity for radical novelties). There are also internal drivers that function as windows of opportunity for niche innovations such as technical improvements and increasing returns of adoption. Although improvement in price/performance ratio (i.e. internal drivers) is one important factor, other socio-technical and social external factors still play crucial role, albeit not comprehensively discussed in innovation literature (Geels 2005). The former reference has indicated three distinguished patterns of technological breakthrough from niches to regime and landscape levels. First, radical innovations are accumulated at the niche level; they do not happen suddenly or at once. They are gradual and follow subsequent steps. In that regard, learning processes at niche level include, at its core, testing novel configurations with users, and by building that experience, new technical forms and functionalities of such novelties are explored and validated. This process would lead, at the end, to the stabilization of rules, which means the creation of new dominant design and articulation of new users’ preferences. Second, innovations at niches follow co-evolutionary pattern by linking to other technologies. Interlocking, interrelatedness, and co-development of multiple technologies become recently a main theme in technology diffusion research. In this regard, there are four ways in which emerging niche technologies co-evolution can take place. A new technology can: (1) Be a complementary to existing technologies, especially when the former one faces a lot of constraints in its functionality. (2) Be a technical addition or hybridization, as new and old technologies can create a kind of symbiosis link. (3) Follow sequential accumulation; when a technology catalyzes an existing regime to open up and hence provides an opportunity to an upcoming technology to link up on a later stage. (4) Exchange some elements from other competing technologies. Third, involvement of actors is an essential pre-requisite to stimulate and accelerate diffusion of new technologies on higher levels of MLP systems. Indeed, active involvement and support from related actors can help newly emerging technologies to link up and reinforce each other. That would enhance the creation of new opportunities that would lead to regime change. It is important to mention that actors’ involvement is a non-linear process which includes both accelerations and slowing down. That process affects strategic interactions between actors as well. Scholars have been able to study actors-related 28 activities in case studies by investigating micro activities of actors’ practices on a local level (Geels 2005). On a later study, Geels and Schot (2007) have defended MLP model from critics and indicated that although it is a global model, which describes and analyses transition process from a macro/holistic perspective (i.e. outside-in approach), MLP is also designed to allow analysis from an actor/local based perspective (i.e. inside-out approach). However, the focus on actors related activities can be more elaborated by single case studies. That warrants aim of the study, its research question and its exploratory nature of investigating the role played by an essential actor in technological niches “SMEs” by upscaling such technological breakthroughs that have the potential to transform mobility system in western Sweden. 2.1.2.2 The process of nice formation: Strategic Niche Management (SNM) Background and definition of SNM: Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) have introduced the concept of Strategic Niche Management (SNM) in the regime transition literature. The concept comprises the creation and management of niche spaces for highly potential technologies. The importance of SNM relies on the famous assumption of system innovation literature: transformational changes in innovation systems can be initiated from niche level because they are the rooms for radical novelties (Geels 2004). Practices developed by niche players/managers, when adopted on a larger scale, would have a more amplified effect that could lead technological regimes to transform. Accordingly, transitions of socio-technical regimes suggest a crucial role to be played by niches and entrepreneurs/system builders in such complex process. In strategic niche management or “niche-based model” of regime transformation, niche actors who are transition managers protect what they believe as desired technological configurations, so that such configurations have the opportunity to develop and prosper on a later stage. Then they can replace and/or transform current environmentally unsustainable regimes. Specifically, niches are important to prove the technical viability of, secure financial assistance for, and form “constituency” around the new-born technologies. In other words, niches provide space for learning processes, and institutional connection and adaptation that are crucial for accelerating such novel technologies. Accordingly, regime transitions require niche proliferation as a core element in such process, hence, Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) has introduced the concept of SNM as “the creation, development and controlled phase-out of protected spaces for the development and use of promising technologies by means of experimentation, with the aim of (1) learning about the desirability of the new technology and (2) enhancing the further development and the rate of application of the new technology”. Geels (2004) has indicated that experimentation processes in protected niches are precarious (i.e. reconfiguration processes of new technologies on niches are, to a great extent, unorganized and coincidental; they can go in many directions and lose momentum). That would require more work from niche actors to support it as well as articulating its rules. Steps and processes of SMN and formation: Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) and Kemp, Rip et al. (2001) explained in detail the five steps of SMN. These steps should not be seen as 29 sequential; but overlapping, interconnected and feeding into each other. They can be presented as follows, The choice of technology: a technology that could be supported by a SNM process is one from outside the current technical regime and has a high potential to solve a persistent problem at an acceptable cost level. The selection of an experiment: it is the selection of an appropriate setting for developing and testing the new technology. In other words, it is the selection of the most appropriate space, such as a specific geographical location or a business application, in which the technology advantages are maximized, while its disadvantages and disruptions are minimized. The setup of experiment: it is the most difficult step as it includes choosing the right policy mix that maintain the balance between the protection and selection pressure on the new technology. Indeed, high focus on protection and low focus on selection can lead to reverse results in terms of very expensive failures. On the opposite side, high selection pressure with little protection can lead to undesirable path dependencies for the new technology. The scale up of experiment: it is related to the choice of the right policy mix to promote the scale up of successful experimentation of a new technology. The breakdown of protection: this is done when protection is no longer needed as the technology does not show desirable results. It is also needed when niche manager wants to fully consider selection pressure. However, this step should be done in a controlled manner in order not to negatively affect involved companies and developers. In addition, Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) have highlighted three processes that constitute niche formation. First, coupling of expectation; which is the process of translating expectations and promises of the developed technologies to other actors by engaging into collaboration activities that substantiate such expectations primarily to market users/adopters. That is because actors vary according to their interests, capabilities, believes/values as well as expectations. In that regard, regulators as well as public authorities can have a crucial role in supporting (or impeding) niche technologies if they are (or aren’t) successfully engaged into this process (Elzen and Wieczorek 2005). Second, articulation process; specifically, the articulation of the above-mentioned barriers for regime transitions, as well as possibilities to overcome them (i.e. articulation of technology design specifications, its side effects, and users’ needs/requirements). Articulation is undertaken through experimentation as presented in the steps of SNM. Third, network formation; and that is for new actors developing the disruptive technologies. In this regard, government can step and assist in forming such networks as other prevailing actors would not be interested into taking the initiative and spreading respective technologies that may threaten existing ones. These networks should represent potential users/adopters of new ideas as they are the main receivers of development outcome and primary source of feedback over the SNM process. 30 Characteristics of SNM and formation: It is crucial to mention that SNM is undertaken by more than one actor who can perform as “niche managers” such as governmental agencies, local municipalities/authorities, non-governmental organizations, private companies, interest groups and/or independent individuals. The number and collection of involved actors differs from once case to another, albeit it is a collective action process than a single-actor one, and it is not implemented in a systematic or coordinated manner. Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) and Kemp, Rip et al. (2001) have highlighted the role of government in SNM as an enabler, facilitator and process manager of niche formation, rather than a regulator of it. Elzen and Wieczorek (2005) indicated that this facilitating role is concerned, in the first place, with fostering knowledge transfer and affecting patterns of collaborative relationship among involved actors. Different government levels can have different roles in SNM. For instance, a local government can facilitate networking activities and information exchange (i.e. be a network manager), while a regional or state government can co-sponsor projects that need to scale up and formulate supportive macro- policies. SNM has to be perceived as facilitating, rather than a modeling, factor of regime transitions, yet it is a steppingstone in this process. Moreover, government’s policies are one component among many other factors that form its multi-actors’ perspective. The success of strategic niche formation and management is dependent on the status of current regime (i.e. its structural problems and changes) as well as on the processes within the niche itself. Both factors are determining the patterns and path dependences of niches development. Therefore, success of SNM is not granted; because of the unexpected factors from the selection environment that can alter the attractiveness of a new technology. That is why it is key to support technologies that have high improvement potentials, several applications, as well as ample cost reductions. Accordingly, Kemp, Rip et al. (2001) consented with the above-mentioned literature of sustainability transition of STS that niche managers cannot completely predict transition paths of regimes in a certain desirable direction as SNM is coevolutionary in nature; there is no linear causality between its processes and their expected outcomes, and there is no clear cut distinction between its public and private spheres. However, SNM is not completely unpredictable as it comprises guidance for paving transition paths in order to increase the probability of their desirable direction. That’s why sustainability transition cannot be fully controlled but it can be affected and direct its developments over adequate, and relatively longer time periods (Brown, Vergragt et al. 2004). Lastly, to create a desirable transition, a critical mass should be created; experiments should have adequate size and time span in order to achieve learning economies and intended institutional change. Kemp, Schot et al. (1998) have noticed that experiments for new technologies in transportation sector are implemented on a small scale and on a short time period, therefore, a significant risk was demonstrated for losing all created knowledge from such experiments when they are done. 31 2.1.2.3. Criticism to MLP and niche-based theories of regime transitions and the development of transition pathways Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) have argued that existing theoretical explanation of system transformation, especially MLP approach, is predominantly niche-based, as they place too much emphasis on niches to create regime transitions. In other words, theoretical foundation of regime change has focused on linking activities on the niche level and finding trajectories to direct new technological configurations towards executing deliberate transitions. Particularly, Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) have criticized F. W. Geels’s MLP theory of system innovation as it does not provide a solid explanation of how new configuration on the niche level would “link up” to the incumbent regime level in the process of creating wider regime transformation, as F. W. Geels explained it as “haphazard and co-incidental” process. Geels (2004) explained that changes in the landscape such as economic fluctuations and demographic megatrends can perform as a source of tensions in socio-technical regimes, but with no further explanation of how such tensions arise and create windows of opportunities to “link up” with niche radical novelties. In fact, it was argued by Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) that some observations and historical examples of regime transitions have indicated to the top-down direction of initiating change. Macro-level processes can put regimes under selection pressure that would stimulate change. Therefore, transitions are not only taking place through the bottom-up niche-regime technological breakthroughs with the aim of creating a new, or upgrading an existing, social function. For instance, new institutional, economic, political, social and cultural settings on the landscape can stimulate innovation on the micro-niche level, hence drive larger transformation on the meso-regime level. And that would have a crucial factor of creating bottom up opportunities from niche level for linking up to higher levels. So, the question arises: how can the top-down processes would create bottom-up opportunities for radical innovations to link up? In response to criticism on MLP framework, Geels and Schot (2007) have developed a typology of four transition pathways based on alignment of developments within and between the multiple levels. Nevertheless, the four pathways are highly differentiated with respect to timing and nature of multi-level interactions. Regarding timing, it is the time when landscape pressure takes place on the regime level. This pressure can happen while niche innovations are or are not fully developed and ready to break out to regime; and that would result into different transition pathways. In fact, Geels and Schot (2007) have mentioned four indicators for stabilization of niche innovations and their readiness to scale up on regime level. They are: (1) the establishment of a dominant design as a result of cumulative and continuous learning processes. (2) the establishment of support network by powerful related actors. (3) significant techno-economic improvements (i.e. price performance ratio) with expectations for further improvements. (4) the spread of technology in a market niche that can count to 5% of market share. Regarding nature of interaction, landscape pressure as well as niche innovations can have either reinforcing or disruptive relationships with regimes. Landscape reinforcing 32 relationship with regimes would not lead to regime transition, while a disruptive relationship might create necessary pressure for regime change. Niche innovations, in many times, have a “competitive” relationship with existing regimes, and in such cases, the former aims to replace the later. In some other instances, niche innovations can form symbiotic relationship with regimes, and in this case, the former would be adopted by the later as “add-on competence enhancing” technologies that aim to improve regime’s performance and solve its problems. Figure 2: A graphical illustration of the MLP four transition pathways as developed by Geels and Schot (2007) Accordingly, the four transition pathways can be presented as follows: a) Transformation pathway: moderate landscape developments exercise pressure on regimes, and that happens in early phases of disruptive changes taking place in the landscape level. Regime actors, in turn, re-orient/ modify the direction of their innovation activities, while niche innovations cannot take advantages of such developments because they are not sufficiently developed. In this path, outsiders such 33 as pressure groups and movements, entrepreneurs, activists, exert pressure on regime insiders. The later tends to neglect negative externalities and problems that the regime faces. When pressure happens, regime actors re-adopt innovation paths and their development trajectories in a gradual magnitude. In addition, niche innovations would function as symbiotic add-ons to existing regimes without any restructuring/disruptive effects. b) De-alignment and re-alignment pathway: landscape would exert large, sudden and frequent pressures on regime that suffers from persistent structural problems. That cause regime actors to lose trust in the prevailing regime’s developmental path, and that can be seen in declining R&D investments in sustaining innovations. That will also cause the de-alignment of prevailing regime and creation of a gap and an opportunity for radical novelties to fill in. On the niche level, radical innovations may not be ready to penetrate regimes; as they are not fully developed. So, they enter a co-evolution process in which multiple niches compete to evolve and gain resources in conditions characterized by high uncertainty and experimentation. Eventually, one niche innovation manages to gain momentum and be the dominant design, break out and create the re-alignment path of regime. c) Technological substitution pathway: in this path, there is much pressure from landscape developments. At the same time, sufficiently-developed radical innovations are located in, and ready to break out of, the niche level. Accordingly, such radical innovations would replace the existing regime when landscape pressures on regime are enough to initiate transition. Interestingly enough, regime level can be relatively stable, but facing small problems, however; regime actors think that such problems can be solved by sustaining innovations. Therefore, regime actors do not pay much attention to radical innovations happening on the niche level. When landscape shock takes place and initiates transition, niche innovations diffuse to bigger markets through more niche accumulations. This path is characterized by sever competition between incumbent regime firms and new actors; as they both enter a power struggle. In this struggle, incumbent firms would try to defend themselves by improving existing technologies (i.e. the sailing ship effect) but they usually fail at the end. This path is also characterized by “technology push” as new innovations replace/substitute old technologies, leading to the downfall of traditional regime incumbents, wider regime changes, and the emergence of new STS. d) Reconfiguration pathway: in its first phase, this path resembles transformation pathway as niche innovations form symbiotic relationship with regime that adopt such technologies to solve its local problems. That process is usually driven by economic considerations such as increasing performance efficiency. However, on a later stage, the adopted innovations would lead to more adjustments on the regime level, as supported by new waves of pressure from landscape developments. Regime actors learn more about niche innovations and they “explore new combinations” between old 34 and new technologies’ elements. That in turn would open new windows of opportunities for more adaptation of niche innovations, which would result in more changes and reconfigurations on the regime level. It is important to highlight that this pathway is different from transition pathway as a reconfiguration path would imply fundamental changes in the regime basic architecture. In addition, transition is initiated because of the interaction among multiple technological configurations (i.e. component innovations), and not a single technology, that are developed and distributed among many STS. Lastly, regime actors would survive in such transition path, while niche innovations would compete and serve as “component suppliers” to regime actors. Figure no. 2 above shows a graphical illustration of MLP four possible transition pathways. Moreover, Geels and Schot (2007) argued that, in a dynamic presentation of transition pathways, when landscape pressures continue in the form of disruptive change, transition can take a particular sequence. It would start from transformation then to reconfiguration, and at this stage, regime actors would continue to exist, while niche players would be complementary add-on suppliers to existing regime actors. Transition can turn to be substitution or de-alignment and re-alignment if landscape pressures become more disruptive, and regime changes seem to be insufficient to solve its challenges. In such case, regime incumbents lose faith in existing technologies and eventually collapse. The breakthrough of new niche players would determine the resulting pathway (either substitution or de-alignment and re-alignment) according to its development status (either sufficiently developed or not). Alternatively, Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) have suggested another projection for transition contexts as presented in figure no. 3 below. As shown from the figure, transition contexts are depicted on two dimensions; one is the level of coordination among regime actors (i.e. either transformation is highly organized/coordinated/intended on the regime level or it is based on unintended outcomes of actors’ interactions). The second dimension is the availability of resources such as capabilities, knowledge ..etc. (i.e. either transformation is dependent on internal regime resources or external resources that are not within regime outreach). It was assumed by Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) that availability of internal resources would cause change to be incremental/gradual in nature. While if change is characterized by lack of internal resources and adaptation of external resources, then transition would experience more disruptive and major structural changes. 35 Figure 3: Transition contexts based on level of coordination among, and availability of resources to, regime actors, as developed by Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) As presented in figure no. 3, the four transition contexts can be summarized as follows; (1) endogenous renewal: regime actors are executing deliberate regime transformation, as a result of outside pressure using its own resources. That would result into incremental innovation that is shaped by regime actors and accumulated over time. (2) reorientation of trajectories: unexpected shock originated either from inside or outside regime would push regime actors to respond and initiate change in a very uncoordinated manner by using its own resources. (3) emergent transformation: it is initiated by outside uncoordinated pressures on regime level, in which outside actors from other industries such as small firms and university research facilities step in and develop unconventional solutions. These solutions can be disruptive in nature and would initiate major changes later. In fact, Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) argued that Information Technologies (IT) are an excellent example of disruptive technologies that can function in different technological regimes and cause emergent transformation. (4) purposive transition: which is highly coordinated and deliberately executed, however; it reflects a set of interests from outside regime boundaries. In many cases, purposive transition represents the broad spectrum of societal expectations and interests. Berkhout, Smith et al. (2004) indicated that the last form of transformation (i.e. the purposive transition) is the most likely one to create a successful transition management because it would imply a successful negotiation process among different societal actors, inside and outside regime, on the agreed-upon vision that is deliberately executed and guided by them. 36 2.2 Role of innovation-driven SMEs in upscaling niche innovations This second part of literature is reviewing innovation-driven SMEs, as the focus actor of this study for scaling up niche innovations to achieve sustainability transitions. It is crucial to highlight that there is no adequate literature tackling role of SMEs in scaling up niche innovations. However, many scholars have been investigating the uprising role of SMEs in regional innovation systems, various types of SMEs innovation activities, sustainability dimensions/aspects of SMEs innovations, relationship between SMEs and other niche players that introduce radical innovations, and accordingly, the role of business model innovation in the core process of upscaling niche innovations towards achieving sustainability transformation, which will be reviewed in this section. 2.2.1 Rise of SMEs as a main actor in regional innovation systems Nowadays, SMEs are playing a pivotal role for promoting economic growth and innovation in many regions worldwide, especially within the European economies. In fact, SMEs have formed 99% of all businesses inside the European Union (EU), provided over 85% of newly created jobs, and constituted two thirds of total private sector employment over the last five years (EU 2019). Smallbone, North et al. (2003) have discussed the increasing importance of SMEs inside EU different regions since the beginning of 1980s, from an economic perspective, both on the supply and demand sides. On the supply side, many factors have contributed to this phenomenon, most importantly; new technological changes, development of knowledge-based activities, a reduction in the minimum optimal scale of production, tendency of larger firms to undertake cost reduction strategies, increased outsourcing and contracting out to smaller firms, and the structural shifts between manufacturing and service sectors. According to the previous reference, all these factors have created promising niche opportunities for SMEs to step in. In fact, many of these factors have changed the nature of relationship between different firm sizes in which smaller firms pursued to act as suppliers for fewer larger firms, the final producers, in many industrial clusters. Smallbone, North et al. (2003) claimed that such new structures have enhanced regional competitiveness and innovation capacities in many EU regions. Due to big discrepancies among SMEs regarding technological level, they have different roles in relation to innovation. Accordingly, Smallbone, North et al. (2003) mentioned that some references had made classification of SMEs based on their technological level; (a) technology-driven SMEs, that keep updated with latest technologies, (b) technology- following SMEs, in which technology is important but it does not have to be updated to the frontier, and (c) technology-indifferent SMEs; that have very low investment levels in technological equipment. Moreover, as creating competitive advantage is the core of innovation activity, Smallbone, North et al. (2003) has argued that technology-driven SMEs developing proprietary novelties would seek to “create and maintain specialized niches” as they create their own competitive advantage. However, such innovation process requires substantial resource commitment that can be quite challenging for new companies, therefore a significant financial and external technical support is needed in such cases to maintain the firm’s own resource base. 37 2.2.2 Role of SMEs in regional innovation systems In general, there is unclear and undecisive conclusions for role of SMEs in innovation systems, specifically regarding nature of their innovation activities, types of available resources to them, their engagement within innovation networks. In fact, Klewitz and Hansen (2014) pointed out that innovation in SMEs can takes place in many degrees, due to the different levels of innovation capacity within SMEs. That is why, Tödtling and Kaufmann (2001) have investigated, in a prominent study, the role of SMEs in regional innovation systems, as part of a large European research project “SMEPOL survey”, in which they have concluded SMEs to play an essential role in such systems. The former reference has reviewed SMEs innovation activities by investigating nature/type of innovation (incremental/disruptive, product/process/organizational), dedicated resources of SMEs innovation activities and external networking activities of SMEs. Before first reviewing Tödtling and Kaufmann (2001) findings for types of innovation undertaken by SMEs, it is important to highlight the difference between product, process and organizational innovation, as defined by Klewitz and Hansen (2014). The three types of innovations can be interlinked and conducted simultaneously especially by technology- driven SMEs; - Product innovation: it is directly linked to modifying/improving specifications of the firm’s offering or changing the bundle of its products/services by introducing new offerings through the adoption/development of new technology(ies). - Process innovation: it is directly related to improving quality, and increasing efficiency, of production and delivery of firm’s current offering such as cost reductions and introduction of cleaner production methods through the adoption/development of new technology(ies). - Organizational innovation: it is directly related to the introduction of new managerial formats and reorganizing the prevailing managerial structures that address people and work routines within the firm. Regarding nature of innovation, Tödtling and Kaufmann (2001) have pointed to the debate in literature whether SMEs innovation is incremental or radical in nature. In fact, empirical findings show that SMEs play a bigger role in incremental innovation; however, in high- tech sectors and technology regions, SMEs can be a strong candidate to drive radical innovation (Smallbone, North et al. 2003), if some preconditions are fulfilled. These conditions are: availability of strong R&D institutions, venture capital firms, spin-off companies and technology networks. Kaufmann and Tödtling (2003) has highlighted two innovation strategies by SMEs; defensive and offensive innovation strategies. SMEs are predominantly following defensive innovation strategies such as focusing on niches, cost cutting, increasing the quality and redesign of traditional products, other than offensive strategies such as expanding to new mainstream markets. However, more offensive strategies are found in R&D intensive SMEs. Regarding available resources to SMEs, Tödtling and Kaufmann (2001) have argued that SMEs have fewer endowments of internal and external financial resources as well as 38 compatible human resources (with technical and managerial skills, and/or time); which lead to crucial consequences. On one note, limited resources would affect SMEs abilities to “scan, identify and respond to opportunities and threats” surrounding them