A simulation based forecast algorithm for public transportation

Examensarbete för masterexamen

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12380/203064
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Type: Examensarbete för masterexamen
Master Thesis
Title: A simulation based forecast algorithm for public transportation
Authors: Daugaard, Jonathan
Larkö, Erik
Abstract: This thesis describes a simulation based system for forecasting arrival and departure times in complex public transit systems. The variables included in the calculations are: time of day, vehicle schedule adherence, estimated passenger count on stop, interactions with other vehicles and vehicle position from both historical and contemporary data. The use of a simulation based algorithm simpli es the implementation of a complex model with a great number of di erent dependencies. Additionally, creating a forecast using historical data while looking at di erent data features to nd similarities gives a more accurate forecast than just looking at a moving average using data from the current day.
Keywords: Data- och informationsvetenskap;Computer and Information Science
Issue Date: 2014
Publisher: Chalmers tekniska högskola / Institutionen för data- och informationsteknik (Chalmers)
Chalmers University of Technology / Department of Computer Science and Engineering (Chalmers)
URI: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12380/203064
Collection:Examensarbeten för masterexamen // Master Theses

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