Deep Learning-Based Multimodal Satellite Precipitation Retrieval with HPC-Optimized Inference
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Examensarbete för masterexamen
Master's Thesis
Master's Thesis
Modellbyggare
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Accurate precipitation retrieval is important for weather monitoring and hydrological
applications, especially where radar coverage is limited or affected by terrain. This
thesis adapts a deep-learning precipitation retrieval framework to geostationary
Meteosat Third Generation Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) observations and extends
it with passive microwave (PMW) observations from the Advanced Technology
Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Arctic Weather Satellite (AWS). The main aim
is to evaluate whether sparse PMW observations improve FCI-only precipitation
retrieval over the MetCoOp Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS) domain, and to
improve the efficiency of inference on a GPU-based system.
The retrieval model estimates near-surface precipitation from recent satellite observa
tions using a 3D encoder-decoder convolutional neural network. FCI provides dense
and temporally continuous geostationary input, while ATMS and AWS provide sparse
PMWinput, available only when polar-orbiting swaths pass over the domain. Missing
PMW observations are handled with masks, allowing full-domain retrievals even
when microwave coverage is absent. The models are evaluated against BALTRAD
radar-derived precipitation for selected periods in 2025.
The FCI-only model captures the general precipitation structure, but its precipitation
amount is not stably calibrated across the evaluation periods. The main result is
that adding PMW improves several metrics: mean absolute error decreases from
2.70 to 2.14 mm/day, R2 increases from-0.19 to 0.17, and the Matthews correlation
coefficient at the 0.1 mm/day threshold increases from 0.22 to 0.35. The benefit is
strongest when PMW observations are available and weaker when microwave coverage
is missing. A separate zenith-angle experiment shows that viewing geometry can
strongly affect the retrieved precipitation distribution, but did not give a balanced
improvement.
Profiling shows that the original inference pipeline was limited mainly by data
loading, small tile processing, CPU-side operations, and NetCDF writing, rather
than by the 3D convolutional network alone. Batched tile inference, asynchronous
I/O, and multi-GPU execution improved throughput. The optimized two-GPU
pipeline achieved a 1.58× speedup for near-real-time processing, while temporal
sharding achieved a 2.27× speedup for offline processing. Overall, the thesis shows
that dense FCI input can be combined with sparse PMW observations, and that
system-level optimizations can substantially speed up inference without changing
the trained model.
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Ämne/nyckelord
precipitation retrieval, deep learning, MTG-FCI, PMW, CHIMP, GPU
