Extensions of Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance using the Geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders process
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Författare
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Examensarbete för masterexamen
Master's Thesis
Master's Thesis
Modellbyggare
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Sammanfattning
We investigate performance of the Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance
(CPPI) strategy and compare it with two of its extensions: Time Invariant
Portfolio Protection (TIPP) and Exponential Proportion Portfolio Insurance
(EPPI).
In order to do this, we model a risky asset (a stock or an index) using
a Geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, and estimate its parameters using
the likelihood ratio method with historical price data. We model a non-risky
asset (a zero-coupon bound) using a Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders process
and estimate its parameters using the maximum likelihood method where
we approximate the transition probability density function using a Hermite
expansion.
We find that both extensions of the CPPI improve performance in different
ways. The resulting distribution of simulated portfolio outcomes for the TIPP
strategy has a lighter tail compared to the CPPI case, and the risk of loss
is lower (this is also true compared to the EPPI strategy, but to a smaller
degree). The EPPI strategy translates the distribution of simulated portfolio
outcomes to the right, so that EPPI performs better than CPPI (and TIPP)
in terms of both mean and median.
Beskrivning
Ämne/nyckelord
constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI), time invariant portfolio protection (TIPP), exponential proportion portfolio insurance (EPPI), geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (GOU process), Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff Sanders process (CKLS process), likelihood ratio, Hermite expansion, Hermite approximation, maximum likelihood approximation.
